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Trade Ideas

International Trade Idea: DuPont de Nemours Inc. (DD US) - BUY

 

By Peet Serfontein & Khumbulani Kunene

We enter a long position with a target price of $170.00 and a stop-loss of $127.00.

DuPont de Nemours Inc. is a United States (US)-based multinational company that develops specialised materials, technologies and solutions for customers worldwide. Its operations serve a broad range of industries, including electronics, semiconductors, healthcare, water treatment, automotive, construction and industrial manufacturing.

The company functions primarily as a Tier 1 and Tier 2 business-to-business (B2B) supplier, providing advanced materials, specialty chemicals, and components integrated into end-user products.

Technically, the price at the start of wave 5 out of the Elliott Wave Price Theory presents an attractive buying opportunity (see the number notation on the main chart). This pattern typically begins after the wave 4 correction has stabilised above an important support level, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and the broader upward trend may be resuming.

A developing bullish pennant also supports a bullish bias (see the insert on the main chart). This pattern presents an attractive buying opportunity, as the price is consolidating between converging support and resistance lines following a strong upward advance. While still under development, an increase in volumes and a decisive close above the pennant's upper resistance line would confirm the pattern.

Fading downside price momentum according to the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram and the recent sideways trajectory of the On-balance volume (OBV) indicator supports the bullish stance.

Share performance

Share information

Share CodeDD US
IndustryMaterials
Market Capital (USD)19.1 billion
One-Year Total Return52.84%
Return Year-to-Date16.93%
Current Price (USD)139.89
52-Week High (USD)157.98
52-Week Low (USD)86.55
Financial Year EndDecember
The price remains above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), suggesting that the long-term trend supports the bullish case as buyers continue to maintain control of the broader market direction.

Consensus expectations (Bloomberg)

FY25FY26EFY27EFY28E
Headline Earnings per Share (USD)5.047.177.908.13
Growth (%)42.2410.172.95
Dividend Per Share (USD)4.292.142.543.10
Growth (%)-50.2118.8722.06
Forward PE (times)18.4417.4217.20
Forward Dividend Yield (%)1.531.812.22
The company is set to deliver strong double-digit earnings growth over the medium term.

Buy/sell rationale

Technical analysis

    • The lower panel is the Bollinger Band bandwidth for the stock, which has declined to an exceptionally low level, indicating that the stock is experiencing significant volatility compression and that the Bollinger Bands have narrowed considerably (see the black arrow). Although the low bandwidth does not independently predict the direction of the next move, the stock's prevailing upward trend and developing bullish pennant increase the probability that the anticipated volatility expansion could occur to the upside. A decisive breakout above the pennant and upper Bollinger Band, preferably accompanied by increasing volume, a rising OBV and an expanding bandwidth reading, would confirm renewed upside momentum.
    • Our recommended entry range is $136 to $142, or as close as possible to $140.77 - a drop below this range would indicate a substantial change in price dynamics, giving reason to negate the trade idea.
    • Our target price is $170, representing ~20.8% upside from current levels. According to forward calculations of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, the share will be overbought at $240, making our profit target realistic.
    • Our proposed time to exit is towards the start of October 2026, but investors can adjust for a longer or shorter time horizon, depending on price behaviour.
    • A drop below $127, or 9.8% below current levels, would suggest weakening technicals, and a stop-loss is recommended at this level.
    • We expect moderate price fluctuations and suggest a medium at-risk allocation for this trade. Increase exposure for a break above $170.00.

Fundamental view

    • DuPont de Nemours operates primarily through two segments, namely Healthcare & Water Technologies (~47% revenue; focuses heavily on stable, high-margin end markets that provide critical solutions for human health and environmental sustainability) and Diversified Industrials (~53% of revenue; includes the company's legacy expertise in advanced material science, serving highly specialised manufacturing and construction supply chains).
    • The company's leading product is Tyvek, a tough, lightweight, and breathable synthetic material made from high-density polyethylene fibres. It resists water, tears, and bacteria, making it popular for protective suits, house wraps, and strong packaging.
    • FilmTec is the company's highest growth industrial product which is a high-performance reverse osmosis (RO) and nanofiltration (NF) membrane element used for water purification, desalination, and wastewater reuse.
    • DuPont does not have a single big client but instead supplies vast distribution networks and elite industry partnerships across global wholesale, automotive & aerospace and municipal and industrial water empires.
    • In 1Q26, net sales jumped 4% to $1.7 billion, supported by strength in Healthcare Technologies on the back of growth in medical packaging and biopharma. Gains were capped by a slowdown in Water Technologies as strength in industrial water and microelectronics markets were more than offset by logistics disruptions in the Middle East.
    • Looking ahead, management expects Healthcare & Water Technologies to deliver mid-single-digit organic sales growth in 2026, supported by strong demand in healthcare, medical devices and water markets. Diversified Industrials is expected to achieve low-single-digit growth, driven by aerospace and improving industrial markets, partially offset by continued weakness in construction-related end markets.
    • From a risk perspective, the company is exposed to pushbacks from global environmental agencies which are rapidly moving to restrict or completely ban persistent chemical compounds. The company is entangled in a multi-billion-dollar legal battle stemming from its historical production and deployment of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances - known as PFAS.

Update on previous trade ideas

Share name and position EntryCurrent priceMovementCommentTime to exit
UBER - (Close position)72.3365.94-8.8%Stock has hit stop-loss. Exit trade
AMZN - (Close position)247.55232.11-6.2%Stock has hit stop-loss. Exit trade
MA - Buy (Continue to hold)513.60551.71+7.4%The price at the lower range of an inclining linear regression channel pattern remains of interest. Remains above its 200-day SMA. Upside momentum is supportive. Our profit target is maintained at $570.00 with a trailing stop-loss at $539.00. 2 September 2026
VMC - Buy (Continue to hold)268.94284.49+5.8%The combination of supportive long-term trend dynamics, improving momentum conditions and favourable mean-reversion characteristics remains of interest. Remains just below its 200-day SMA. Fading upside momentum is a concern. Our profit target is maintained at $314.00 with a trailing stop-loss at ~$275.00.19 August 2026
SYK - Buy (Continue to hold)329.74336.74+2.1%The price at the lower range of an inclining linear regression channel pattern remains of interest. Testing its 200-day SMA. Upside momentum is supportive. Our profit target is maintained at $401.00 with a trailing stop-loss at $326.00. 14 October 2026
PLTR - Buy (Continue to hold)133.72131.53-1.6%The price at the lower range of Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO) indicator remains of interest. Remains below its 200-day SMA and the trade is regarded as a counter-trend strategy. Fading downside momentum is supportive. Our profit target is maintained at $175.00, with a trailing stop-loss at $123.00.30 September 2026

This trade idea can be actioned through FNB Global Trader by visiting shares.fnb.co.za.

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